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Uirapuru vs Várzea Grande EC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Matogrossense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Várzea Grande EC in this Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Várzea Grande EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Uirapuru
20%
Draws
65%
Várzea Grande EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Várzea Grande EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Várzea Grande EC lately — more wins on the board than Uirapuru.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 16%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uirapuru Várzea Grande EC
Matches Played 14 27
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uirapuru vs Várzea Grande EC
1:4
Jun 24, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Várzea Grande EC
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uirapuru 36 / 100
Várzea Grande EC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uirapuru Várzea Grande EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Várzea Grande EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Uirapuru's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Uirapuru went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uirapuru VS Várzea Grande EC
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uirapuru

(Home)
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
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Várzea Grande EC

(Away)
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
08 Feb
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorriso EC 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Chapada 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Campo Novo 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
6 Juara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacerense 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Várzea Grande EC 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
3 Dom Bosco 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
4 Uirapuru 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Acao 4 1 0 3 7:8 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)