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UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka vs Sumy

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Druha Liga 2011/2012 encounter between UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka and Sumy promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka averages 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Sumy shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka, 1 wins for Sumy, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 03.11.13 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.23 for UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka and 0.80 for Sumy, suggesting the primary value lies in the UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka
24%
Draws
21%
Sumy
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka picked up more points recently compared to Sumy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka Clean Sheet 26%
Sumy Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka Sumy
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

03.11.13 Persha Liga
Sumy vs UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka
0:1
20.07.13 Persha Liga
UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka vs Sumy
0:0
22.04.12 Druha Liga
UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka vs Sumy
1:2
02.09.11 Druha Liga
Sumy vs UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka
0:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sumy

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 55 / 100
Sumy 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka Sumy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka Win (1)
Secondary Pick UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 61%
Sumy 17%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Sumy will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka's attacks.

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 52%
Sumy 22%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 55%
Sumy 21%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka vary their attacking width.

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 58%
Sumy 20%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Sumy, allowing UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 50%
Sumy 23%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka, while Sumy takes risks to salvage a result.

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 63%
Sumy 24%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka attacking → ← attacking Sumy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka have found the net in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Sumy have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.25 goals per match.

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sumy suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 21
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sumy26213251:1366
2Desna26185348:1959
3Cherkashchyna26158336:1653
4Nova Kakhovka26157451:1852
5UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka26146643:2548
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004)26116940:3233
7Real Pharma Odesa26961128:4133
8Krystal26951230:3232
9Skala Stryj26841426:3628
10FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi26641623:5022
11Ch. Odesa 226551619:2020
12Nyva Ternopil26961130:4118
13Yednist26361719:5715
14Yalpuh Bolhrad26212310:547
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SC Poltava26185350:1959
2Kramatorsk 226191641:1558
3Shakhter Sverdlovsk26156549:2351
4Kryvbas Krivoy Rog26163744:2251
5Kremin26163734:2351
6Stal Kamianske26153834:1948
7Myr Hornostajivka26137636:2646
8Shakhtar 3261011546:5631
9Hirnyk-Sport26681228:3926
10FC Sevastopol 226731626:5124
11Dnipro II26651524:4523
12SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 226531819:4318
13FC Mariupol II26521925:4717
14FC Nikopol26521920:4817