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Ukraine U16 vs France U16

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ukraine U16 play France U16 in the Friendly International 2024. France U16 are favorites here. Recently, Ukraine U16 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. France U16 averaged 2.65 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Ukraine U16 won 0, France U16 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 28, 2024 ended 0:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.41 for Ukraine U16 and 2.10 for France U16. This points to a France U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ukraine U16
16%
Draws
57%
France U16
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: France U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Ukraine U16 picked up more points recently compared to France U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.41 vs 2.10 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Ukraine U16 Clean Sheet 10%
France U16 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U16 France U16
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 24
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.3 2.65
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Friendly International
Ukraine U16 vs France U16
0:8
Jan 25, 2014 Friendly International
Ukraine U16 vs France U16
2:3
Jan 22, 2013 Friendly International
France U16 vs Ukraine U16
1:0
Jan 17, 2012 Friendly International
France U16 vs Ukraine U16
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

France U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jacinthe D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Soulet M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U16 26 / 100
France U16 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U16 France U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick France U16 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ukraine U16 attacking → ← attacking France U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U16 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

France U16 let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ukraine U16 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

France U16 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 75
1.57 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.57 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25