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Ukraine U17 vs Italy U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Ukraine U17 and Italy U17 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Ukraine U17
20%
Draws
63%
Italy U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Italy U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Italy U17 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Italy U17 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ukraine U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U17 Italy U17
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 8 24
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.41 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Friendly International
Ukraine U17 vs Italy U17
2:3
Oct 7, 2025 Euro U17
Ukraine U17 vs Italy U17
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Ukraine U17
2:1
Mar 13, 2023 Euro U17
Ukraine U17 vs Italy U17
0:3
Apr 26, 2022 Euro U17
Ukraine U17 vs Italy U17
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U17 10 / 100
Italy U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U17 Italy U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ukraine U17 scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Italy U17 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Ukraine U17 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U17 VS Italy U17
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 75%
83% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U17

(Home)
02 Oct
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Italy U17
29 Sept
Ukraine U17
0 : 2
Turkey U17
09 Jun
Albania U17
0 : 4
Ukraine U17
06 Jun
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Latvia U17
23 Apr
Spain U17
3 : 1
Ukraine U17
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Italy U17

(Away)
06 Oct
Croatia U17
0 : 1
Italy U17
02 Oct
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Italy U17
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
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