Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ukraine U19 vs Germany U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Lyusin P.
43' Event
Glyut V.
Assist: Kaliuzhnyi N.
44'
Kokodynyak Y.

AI Match Summary

Germany U19 in this Euro U19 2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Ukraine U19
15%
Draws
40%
Germany U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ukraine U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Germany U19 lately — more wins on the board than Ukraine U19.
  • Ukraine U19 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Germany U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Germany U19, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Germany U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ukraine U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Germany U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U19 Germany U19
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Euro U19
Ukraine U19 vs Germany U19
1:2
Jul 25, 2014 Euro U19
Germany U19 vs Ukraine U19
2:0
Mar 25, 2013 Friendly International
Germany U19 vs Ukraine U19
2:0
Mar 29, 2011 Friendly International
Germany U19 vs Ukraine U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Glyut V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Germany U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stange O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onyeka F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U19 75 / 100
Germany U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U19 Germany U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ukraine U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U19 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Germany U19 let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Ukraine U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U19 VS Germany U19
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U19

(Home)
08 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 2
Germany U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
02 Jul
Serbia U19
1 : 2
Ukraine U19
29 Jun
Croatia U19
1 : 3
Ukraine U19
31 Mar
Romania U19
1 : 1
Ukraine U19
Page 1 of 6

Germany U19

(Away)
11 Jul
Spain U19
2 : 0
Germany U19
08 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 2
Germany U19
04 Jul
Spain U19
4 : 0
Germany U19
01 Jul
Wales U19
0 : 4
Germany U19
28 Jun
Germany U19
4 : 3
Denmark U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Spain U19 3
Croatia U19 0
Ukraine U19 1
Germany U19 2
Final
Spain U19 2
Germany U19 0