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Ukraine U19 W vs Luxembourg U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ukraine U19 W play Luxembourg U19 W in the Euro U19 Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ukraine U19 W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Luxembourg U19 W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Ukraine U19 W won 1, Luxembourg U19 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 27, 2023 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Ukraine U19 W and 2.75 for Luxembourg U19 W. This points to a Ukraine U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ukraine U19 W
15%
Draws
38%
Luxembourg U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ukraine U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Ukraine U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Luxembourg U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Ukraine U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
Luxembourg U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U19 W Luxembourg U19 W
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 1
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2023 Euro U19 Women
Ukraine U19 W vs Luxembourg U19 W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ptytsyna M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fedorenko A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Luxembourg U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U19 W 44 / 100
Luxembourg U19 W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U19 W Luxembourg U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ukraine U19 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ukraine U19 W attacking → ← attacking Luxembourg U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U19 W scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Luxembourg U19 W let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Ukraine U19 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Luxembourg U19 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 19
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland U19 W330035:09
2Albania U19 W32014:56
3Cyprus U19 W31024:193
4Lithuania U19 W30033:220
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W220013:06
2Estonia U19 W21019:13
3Gibraltar U19 W20020:210
4Liechtenstein U19 W00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Slovenia U19 W330021:39
2Kosovo U19 W32018:56
3Moldova U19 W30121:101
4Azerbaijan U19 W30120:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ukraine U19 W330014:19
2North Macedonia U19 W320111:26
3Armenia U19 W31021:123
4Luxembourg U19 W30030:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia U19 W330015:29
2Bulgaria U19 W31115:54
3Latvia U19 W30211:62
4Georgia U19 W30121:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Slovakia U19 W21109:34
2Romania U19 W21104:34
3Kazakhstan U19 W20020:70