Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ukraine U23 vs Italy U21

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Khlan M.
Assist: Martynyuk O.
42'
Zanotti M.
43'
Veleten V.

AI Match Summary

The Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 game between Ukraine U23 and Italy U21 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ukraine U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ukraine U23
20%
Draws
42%
Italy U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Italy U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Italy U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ukraine U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Italy U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U23 Italy U21
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 5 18
Draws 2 7
Losses 0 4
Goals Scored 2.43 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2024 Maurice Revello Tournament
Ukraine U23 vs Italy U21
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Khlan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martynyuk O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Italy U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U23 19 / 100
Italy U21 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U23 Italy U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ukraine U23 scored in 100% of their last 7 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ukraine U23 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Italy U21 conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Italy U21
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Ukraine U23
2 : 2
Paraguay U23
14 Jul
Ukraine U23
1 : 1
Egypt U23
16 Jun
Ukraine U23
3 : 2
Ivory Coast U20
10 Jun
Ukraine U23
2 : 1
Japan U19
08 Jun
Ukraine U23
2 : 0
Panama U23
Page 1 of 2

Italy U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0
Albania U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
26 Mar
Italy U21
4 : 0
North Macedonia U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4
Italy U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U20 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 France U20 4 2 0 2 7:4 7
3 Mexico U23 4 3 0 1 6:8 7
4 Saudi Arabia U23 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
5 South Korea U21 4 0 0 4 1:5 1
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U23 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Italy U21 4 3 0 1 7:9 8
3 Japan U19 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
4 Panama U23 4 1 0 3 6:5 4
5 Egypt U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Japan U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Panama U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Indonesia U20 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)