Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw

Ukraine

2 - 0

Iceland

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Johannesson I.

65'

Sub

Willumsson B. In: Gudmundsson J.

Out: Willumsson B.

69'

Sub

Vanat V. In: Yaremchuk R.

Out: Vanat V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Ukraine and Iceland finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ukraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Ukraine

20%

Draws

15%

Iceland

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ukraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ukraine come out ahead of Iceland on wins alone.
65% — that's where the model lands on Ukraine taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Ukraine Clean Sheet 10%

Iceland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ukraine	Iceland
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	10
Draws	6	4
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	1.43	1.53
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 World Championship

Ukraine vs Iceland

2:0

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship

Iceland vs Ukraine

3:5

Mar 26, 2024 Euro

Ukraine vs Iceland

2:1

Sep 5, 2017 World Championship

Iceland vs Ukraine

2:0

Sep 5, 2016 World Championship

Ukraine vs Iceland

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Zubkov O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gutsulyak O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Iceland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine 83 / 100

Iceland 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ukraine Iceland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ukraine Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Ukraine found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Iceland let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Ukraine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine VS Iceland

1.63 Goals Scored 1.88

1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13

100% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine

(Home)

07 Jun

Denmark

2 : 1

Ukraine

31 May

Poland

0 : 2

Ukraine

31 Mar

Ukraine

1 : 0

Albania

26 Mar

Ukraine

1 : 3

Sweden

16 Nov

Ukraine

2 : 0

Iceland

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Iceland

(Away)

10 Jun

Argentina

3 : 0

Iceland

31 May

Japan

1 : 0

Iceland

31 Mar

Haiti

1 : 1

Iceland

28 Mar

Canada

2 : 2

Iceland

26 Feb

Mexico

4 : 0

Iceland

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