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Ukraine W vs Bulgaria W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ovdiychuk O.
18' Event
Hlushchenko I.
Assist: Pantsulaya N.
36'
Popadinova E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Ukraine W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ukraine W
15%
Draws
85%
Bulgaria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bulgaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bulgaria W haven't matched Ukraine W's recent run of results.
  • Bulgaria W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ukraine W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ukraine W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ukraine W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ukraine W Clean Sheet 10%
Bulgaria W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine W Bulgaria W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.34 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2024 UEFA Nations League Women
Ukraine W vs Bulgaria W
3:0
Feb 23, 2024 UEFA Nations League Women
Bulgaria W vs Ukraine W
0:4
Feb 22, 2022 Friendly International Women
Ukraine W vs Bulgaria W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ovdiychuk O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hlushchenko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Bulgaria W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine W 10 / 100
Bulgaria W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine W Bulgaria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Bulgaria W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bulgaria W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine W VS Bulgaria W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.43
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine W

(Home)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1
Iceland W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0
Ukraine W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
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Bulgaria W

(Away)
09 Jun
Croatia W
4 : 0
Bulgaria W
05 Jun
Bulgaria W
3 : 1
Gibraltar W
18 Apr
Kosovo W
2 : 1
Bulgaria W
14 Apr
Bulgaria W
1 : 3
Kosovo W
07 Mar
Gibraltar W
0 : 5
Bulgaria W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Latvia W 0
Slovakia W 9
Montenegro W 1
Northern Ireland W 3
Bulgaria W 0
Ukraine W 7