Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Viggosdottir G.
15'
15'
Petryk A.
25'
25'
Palmadottir T. K.
Assist: Jessen S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iceland W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ukraine W lately — more wins on the board than Iceland W.
- Iceland W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Ukraine W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Iceland W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Iceland W have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ukraine W Clean Sheet 11%
Iceland W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ukraine W | Iceland W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 5, 2026 World Cup Women
Ukraine W vs Iceland W
0:1
Apr 14, 2026 World Cup Women
Iceland W vs Ukraine W
1:0
Mar 10, 2020 Friendly International Women
Ukraine W vs Iceland W
0:1
Oct 25, 2012 Euro Women
Iceland W vs Ukraine W
3:2
Oct 20, 2012 Euro Women
Ukraine W vs Iceland W
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ukraine W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Iceland W Compare
Top Goalscorer Palmadottir T. K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ukraine W 22 / 100
Iceland W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ukraine W Iceland W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Iceland W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ukraine W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Iceland W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Iceland W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ukraine W VS Iceland W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ukraine W
(Home) 09 Jun
England W
3 : 0 Ukraine W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1 Iceland W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0 Ukraine W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0 Ukraine W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3 Spain W
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05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1 Iceland W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3 Spain W
03 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 6 England W
01 Dec
Ukraine W
3 : 2 Austria W
28 Nov
Ukraine W
1 : 1 Scotland W
Page 1 of 3
Iceland W
(Away) 09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6 Spain W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1 Iceland W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1 England W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0 Ukraine W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0 Iceland W
Page 1 of 6
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1 Iceland W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0 Iceland W
03 Mar
Spain W
3 : 0 Iceland W
24 Oct
Northern Ireland W
0 : 2 Iceland W
10 Jul
Norway W
4 : 3 Iceland W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Sweden W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Serbia W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Netherlands W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 3 | Ireland W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Poland W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 1 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21:3 | 15 |
| 2 | England W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Iceland W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Ukraine W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:19 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Norway W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 3 | Austria W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Slovenia W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:16 | 3 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
