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Ukraine W vs Spain W

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World Cup Women Mardan Antalyaspor, Antalya
Ukraine W Logo

Ukraine W

1 - 3
FT
Spain W Logo

Spain W

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Sub
Ivkova D. In: Basanska O.
Out: Ivkova D.
44' Event
Imade E.
Assist: Paralluelo S.
45'
Kotyk Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ukraine W
15%
Draws
85%
Spain W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain W lately — more wins on the board than Ukraine W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Spain W taking it.
  • Spain W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spain W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ukraine W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine W Spain W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 22
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.25 2.9
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women
Spain W vs Ukraine W
5:0
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Ukraine W vs Spain W
1:3
Sep 6, 2022 World Cup Women
Spain W vs Ukraine W
5:0
Oct 26, 2021 World Cup Women
Ukraine W vs Spain W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ovdiychuk O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Spain W Compare

Top Goalscorer Imade E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corrales L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine W 10 / 100
Spain W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine W Spain W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ukraine W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Spain W let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Spain W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine W VS Spain W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine W

(Home)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1
Iceland W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0
Ukraine W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
Page 1 of 6

Spain W

(Away)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)