Sport Picks
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Pogon Tczew W
Poland
Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Pagowska Z.
30'
30'
Pagowska Z.
34'
34'
McKye M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UKS SMS Lodz W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to UKS SMS Lodz W lately — more wins on the board than Pogon Tczew W.
- Model gives UKS SMS Lodz W a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and UKS SMS Lodz W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
UKS SMS Lodz W Clean Sheet 68%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UKS SMS Lodz W | Pogon Tczew W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Pogon Tczew W
3:3
Aug 31, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
0:3
Sep 21, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Pogon Tczew W
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Pogon Tczew W
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UKS SMS Lodz W Compare
Top Goalscorer Pagowska Z.
2 Goals Assists Leader Filipczak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Pogon Tczew W Compare
Top Goalscorer McKye M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gomes Muniz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UKS SMS Lodz W 95 / 100
Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UKS SMS Lodz W Pogon Tczew W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UKS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: UKS SMS Lodz W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Pogon Tczew W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
UKS SMS Lodz W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
UKS SMS Lodz W VS Pogon Tczew W
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
UKS SMS Lodz W
(Home) 25 Jul
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
1 : 1 UKS SMS Lodz W
30 May
Czarni Sosnowiec W
3 : 2 UKS SMS Lodz W
23 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 2 GKS Katowice W
09 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 1 UKS SMS Lodz W
02 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 0 UJ Krakow W
Page 1 of 6
23 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 2 GKS Katowice W
02 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 0 UJ Krakow W
03 Apr
UKS SMS Lodz W
2 : 0 Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
21 Mar
UKS SMS Lodz W
3 : 3 Pogon Tczew W
15 Mar
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 0 Slask Wroclaw W
Page 1 of 3
Pogon Tczew W
(Away) 30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5 Leczna W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2 Stomilanki Olsztyn W
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2 Pogon Tczew W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3 Pogon Szczecin W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1 Pogon Tczew W
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2 Pogon Tczew W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1 Pogon Tczew W
04 Apr
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 0 Pogon Tczew W
21 Mar
UKS SMS Lodz W
3 : 3 Pogon Tczew W
19 Nov
GKS Katowice W
3 : 1 Pogon Tczew W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czarni Sosnowiec W | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 68:18 | 56 |
| 2 | Pogon Szczecin W | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 60:18 | 51 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice W | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 51:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Leczna W | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 49:20 | 47 |
| 5 | UKS SMS Lodz W | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35:35 | 29 |
| 6 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala W | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 29:34 | 28 |
| 7 | Slask Wroclaw W | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:33 | 26 |
| 8 | Lech-UAM Poznan W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29:46 | 26 |
| 9 | UJ Krakow W | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26:37 | 24 |
| 10 | AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 24:45 | 23 |
| 11 | Stomilanki Olsztyn W | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 23:70 | 11 |
| 12 | Pogon Tczew W | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15:66 | 7 |
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
