Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UKS SMS Lodz W vs R. Rzeszow W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2024/2025 Stadion Szkoly Mistrzostwa Sportowego w Lodzi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UKS SMS Lodz W play R. Rzeszow W in the Ekstraliga Women 2024/2025. UKS SMS Lodz W are favorites here. Recently, UKS SMS Lodz W averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. R. Rzeszow W averaged 1.07 goals scored and 3.3 conceded. In past meetings, UKS SMS Lodz W won 3, R. Rzeszow W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for UKS SMS Lodz W and 2.31 for R. Rzeszow W. This points to a UKS SMS Lodz W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
UKS SMS Lodz W
16%
Draws
22%
R. Rzeszow W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: UKS SMS Lodz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • UKS SMS Lodz W picked up more points recently compared to R. Rzeszow W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.81 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
UKS SMS Lodz W Clean Sheet 10%
R. Rzeszow W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UKS SMS Lodz W R. Rzeszow W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.29 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs R. Rzeszow W
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
R. Rzeszow W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
1:4
Nov 20, 2021 Polish Cup Women
R. Rzeszow W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UKS SMS Lodz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabrowska M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Balcerzak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

R. Rzeszow W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UKS SMS Lodz W 58 / 100
R. Rzeszow W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UKS SMS Lodz W R. Rzeszow W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UKS SMS Lodz W Win (1)
Secondary Pick UKS SMS Lodz W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UKS SMS Lodz W attacking → ← attacking R. Rzeszow W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UKS SMS Lodz W scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

R. Rzeszow W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

UKS SMS Lodz W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

R. Rzeszow W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 20
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 3.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1GKS Katowice W22210174:863
2Czarni Sosnowiec W22171483:1752
3Pogon Szczecin W22170560:2051
4Leczna W22152554:1947
5Slask Wroclaw W22122848:3638
6UKS SMS Lodz W2296731:1733
7AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22841030:3428
8Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22731221:4024
9Pogon Tczew W22531424:5818
10Stomilanki Olsztyn W22441425:6816
11R. Rzeszow W22151616:798
12Skra Czestochowa W2210215:753