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Ulaangom City FC vs Khovd

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulaangom City FC play Khovd in the Premier League. Khovd are favorites here. Recently, Ulaangom City FC averaged 1.23 goals scored and 6 conceded. Khovd averaged 2.42 goals scored and 3.55 conceded. In past meetings, Ulaangom City FC won 0, Khovd won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.88 for Ulaangom City FC and 2.88 for Khovd. This points to a Khovd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ulaangom City FC
17%
Draws
61%
Khovd
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Khovd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulaangom City FC picked up more points recently compared to Khovd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.88 vs 2.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 98%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 56%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%
Khovd Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 88%
Second Half Goal 93%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulaangom City FC Khovd
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.23 2.42
Goals Conceded 6 3.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.88 5.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Khovd
3:3
May 21, 2026 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Khovd
2:3
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Khovd vs Ulaangom City FC
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulaangom City FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Javier C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ochirvaan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Khovd Compare

Top Goalscorer Amarsanar
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ulziisuren
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulaangom City FC 22 / 100
Khovd 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulaangom City FC Khovd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khovd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Khovd & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.9%
1.15
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ulaangom City FC attacking → ← attacking Khovd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulaangom City FC scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Khovd let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.33 goals.

Ulaangom City FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Khovd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 30
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
4.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Ulaanbaatar16132165:941
2Central Stallions16123154:1439
3Khangarid16103359:1933
4Deren1693457:1630
5Hunters1673644:2724
6Khovd Western1653829:3618
7Khovd16401228:7312
8Khoromkhon16201427:866
9Ulaangom City FC16111416:994
10Falcons00000:00