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Ulaangom City FC vs Deren

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Enkhbayar M.
25' Event
Dulguun G.
58' Event
Ochirvaan E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ulaangom City FC and Deren finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ulaangom City FC
6%
Draws
90%
Deren
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Deren taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%
Deren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulaangom City FC Deren
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 3 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 2.25 3.13
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs Ulaangom City FC
7:1
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Deren
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulaangom City FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochirvaan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Deren Compare

Top Goalscorer Enkhbayar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dulguun G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulaangom City FC 10 / 100
Deren 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulaangom City FC Deren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ulaangom City FC scored in 64% of their last 22 outings.

Deren let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Ulaangom City FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulaangom City FC VS Deren
2.25 Goals Scored 3.13
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Ulaanbaatar16132165:941
2Central Stallions16123154:1439
3Khangarid16103359:1933
4Deren1693457:1630
5Hunters1673644:2724
6Khovd Western1653829:3618
7Khovd16401228:7312
8Khoromkhon16201427:866
9Ulaangom City FC16111416:994
10Falcons00000:00