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Ulaangom City FC vs Deren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Enkhbayar M.
22' Event
Purevsuren A.
32' Event
Myagmar B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ulaangom City FC and Deren finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ulaangom City FC
20%
Draws
80%
Deren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Deren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Deren taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Deren have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%
Deren Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulaangom City FC Deren
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 6
Losses 23 5
Goals Scored 1.11 3.13
Goals Conceded 5.64 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Deren
0:5
May 7, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs Ulaangom City FC
7:1
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Deren
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulaangom City FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Deren Compare

Top Goalscorer Enkhbayar M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Purevsuren A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.35
Avg xA / game 2.05

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulaangom City FC 10 / 100
Deren 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulaangom City FC Deren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ulaangom City FC scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Deren conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ulaangom City FC VS Deren
1.38 Goals Scored 3.13
4.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulaangom City FC

(Home)
05 Oct
FC Ulaanbaatar
8 : 0
Ulaangom City FC
30 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
2 : 4
Hunters
26 Sept
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Ulaangom City FC
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
16 Sept
Khovd Western
4 : 1
Ulaangom City FC
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Deren

(Away)
04 Oct
Deren
3 : 3
Khovd
01 Oct
Khovd Western
1 : 5
Deren
27 Sept
Deren
5 : 2
Amtat FC
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Stallions 6 6 0 0 27:6 18
2 Deren 6 4 2 0 20:7 14
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 5 4 1 0 26:3 13
4 Khovd 6 3 1 2 23:15 10
5 Hunters 6 3 0 3 20:15 9
6 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
7 Khovd Western 6 1 0 5 13:27 3
8 Amtat FC 6 1 0 5 5:31 3
9 Ulaangom City FC 6 0 0 6 4:26 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)