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Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2026/2027
Ulinzi Stars Logo

Ulinzi Stars

Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Tusker Logo

Tusker

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ulinzi Stars host Tusker in the Premier League 2026/2027. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Tusker have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Ulinzi Stars have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.08. Past meetings favor Tusker slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 27, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.57 vs 1.18, favoring Tusker. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ulinzi Stars
20%
Draws
40%
Tusker
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tusker come out ahead of Ulinzi Stars on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ulinzi Stars's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ulinzi Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Tusker Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulinzi Stars Tusker
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.08 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker
2:0
May 3, 2026 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker
1:2
Dec 5, 2025 Premier League
Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Premier League
Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulinzi Stars 50 / 100
Tusker 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulinzi Stars Tusker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulinzi Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulinzi Stars scored in 71% of their last 24 games.

Tusker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Ulinzi Stars stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulinzi Stars VS Tusker
0.14 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulinzi Stars

(Home)
31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
27 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0
Tusker
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1
Mathare United
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 5

Tusker

(Away)
12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0
Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2
Tusker
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
01 Aug
Tusker
2 : 0
KVZ
29 Jul
Tusker
0 : 1
Rayon Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)