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Uljanik Pula vs Novigrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Uljanik Pula Logo

Uljanik Pula

2 - 3
FT
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Novigrad in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novigrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Uljanik Pula
35%
Draws
19%
Novigrad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uljanik Pula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uljanik Pula lately — more wins on the board than Novigrad.
  • Model gives Uljanik Pula a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Uljanik Pula Clean Sheet 18%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uljanik Pula Novigrad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 3. HNL West
Uljanik Pula vs Novigrad
2:3
Sep 25, 2021 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Uljanik Pula
4:1
Mar 27, 2021 3. HNL West
Uljanik Pula vs Novigrad
3:1
Sep 12, 2020 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Uljanik Pula
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uljanik Pula 41 / 100
Novigrad 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uljanik Pula Novigrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uljanik Pula found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Novigrad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Uljanik Pula stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uljanik Pula VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uljanik Pula

(Home)
03 Oct
Trnje
2 : 0
Uljanik Pula
25 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Slavonija Pozega
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
11 Sept
Uljanik Pula
2 : 2
Lucko
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
Page 1 of 6

Novigrad

(Away)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)