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Ullern 2 vs Lysekloster

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Heltne T.
35' Event
Aarenes J.
76' Event
Heltne T.

AI Match Summary

Lysekloster in this Division 3 - Group 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lysekloster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ullern 2
15%
Draws
0%
Lysekloster
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ullern 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Lysekloster have won more games recently than Ullern 2.
  • Model gives Lysekloster a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ullern 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Lysekloster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern 2 Lysekloster
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 1 7
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.33
Goals Conceded 3.08 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Lysekloster vs Ullern 2
2:0
Jun 11, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern 2 vs Lysekloster
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ullern 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aarenes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Lysekloster Compare

Top Goalscorer Heltne T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 2 10 / 100
Lysekloster 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern 2 Lysekloster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lysekloster Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lysekloster conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Lysekloster lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Ullern 2 scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lysekloster
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ullern 2

(Home)
29 Oct
Stabaek 2
5 : 0
Ullern 2
22 Oct
Ullern 2
1 : 4
Skjetten
14 Oct
Skedsmo
8 : 0
Ullern 2
08 Oct
Ullern 2
4 : 0
Gneist IL
02 Oct
Lillestrom 2
4 : 0
Ullern 2
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Lysekloster

(Away)
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Mjondalen
06 Sept
Notodden
3 : 0
Lysekloster
30 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Lysekloster
22 Aug
OS TF
2 : 0
Lysekloster
15 Aug
Lysekloster
0 : 1
Kvik Halden
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