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Ullern vs Heming

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ullern host Heming in the Division 3 - Group 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Heming have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Ullern have conceded 2.13 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Ullern slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 3-0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 2.19, favoring Heming. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ullern
28%
Draws
50%
Heming
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Heming

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ullern have won more games recently than Heming.
  • Win probability leans Heming's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ullern Clean Sheet 10%
Heming Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern Heming
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern vs Heming
3-0
Apr 12, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Heming vs Ullern
3-1
Mar 12, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern vs Heming
3-1
Feb 12, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Heming vs Ullern
2-1
Jan 12, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern vs Heming
2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 22 / 100
Heming 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern Heming

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ullern scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Heming conceded in 67% of 15 recent games.

Ullern has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ullern VS Heming
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%