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Ullern vs Konnerud

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Smith D. S.
45' Event
Nabi O.
72' Event
Evensen B.

AI Match Summary

Ullern in this Division 3 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ullern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ullern
6%
Draws
4%
Konnerud
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ullern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ullern have won more games recently than Konnerud.
  • Model gives Ullern a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Ullern Clean Sheet 10%
Konnerud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern Konnerud
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 11 4
Draws 4 0
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern vs Konnerud
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ullern Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evensen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Konnerud Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 83 / 100
Konnerud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern Konnerud

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ullern scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Konnerud let in goals in 100% of their last 17 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Konnerud has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ullern VS Konnerud
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%