Sport Picks

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Ullern vs Melbo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 2021 game between Ullern and Melbo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ullern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Ullern
15%
Draws
12%
Melbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ullern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ullern come out ahead of Melbo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ullern's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Ullern Clean Sheet 68%
Melbo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern Melbo
Matches Played 33 15
Wins 13 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 2.15 1
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2021 Division 3 - Group 6
Ullern vs Melbo
4:0
Oct 25, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Ullern vs Melbo
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Ullern vs Melbo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 77 / 100
Melbo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern Melbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ullern Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ullern found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Melbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 15 matches.

Away concern: Melbo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ullern VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ullern

(Home)
12 Sept
Ready
4 : 3
Ullern
05 Sept
Ullern
2 : 6
Asker
30 Aug
Lokomotiv Oslo
2 : 3
Ullern
15 Aug
Ullern
4 : 1
Union Carl Berner
08 Aug
Ullern
2 : 5
Gamle Oslo
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Melbo

(Away)
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1
Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0
Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1
Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1
Melbo
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