Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ullern vs Sortland

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Nouri A.
45' Event
Karlsen P. E.
46' Event
Abelsen M.

AI Match Summary

Ullern in this Division 3 - Group 1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ullern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ullern
15%
Draws
34%
Sortland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ullern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ullern have won more games recently than Sortland.
  • Model gives Ullern a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Ullern Clean Sheet 68%
Sortland Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern Sortland
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.52 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern vs Sortland
4:2
May 4, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Sortland vs Ullern
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ullern Compare

Top Goalscorer Nouri A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lindahn E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sortland Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsen P. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abelsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 95 / 100
Sortland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern Sortland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ullern Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ullern found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Sortland let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Sortland lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ullern VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ullern

(Home)
12 Sept
Ready
4 : 3
Ullern
05 Sept
Ullern
2 : 6
Asker
30 Aug
Lokomotiv Oslo
2 : 3
Ullern
15 Aug
Ullern
4 : 1
Union Carl Berner
08 Aug
Ullern
2 : 5
Gamle Oslo
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Sortland

(Away)
26 Oct
Alta 2
7 : 1
Sortland
18 Oct
Sortland
0 : 4
Harstad
11 Oct
Sortland
1 : 4
Gamle Oslo
04 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Sortland
27 Sept
Sortland
4 : 1
Skjervoy
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