Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ullern vs Union Carl Berner

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ullern host Union Carl Berner in the Division 3 - Group 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Ullern at 1.63 goals for, 2.13 against; Union Carl Berner at 2 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Union Carl Berner slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.06) point toward Union Carl Berner. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ullern
20%
Draws
38%
Union Carl Berner
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ullern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Carl Berner haven't matched Ullern's recent run of results.
  • Ullern are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ullern Clean Sheet 10%
Union Carl Berner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern Union Carl Berner
Matches Played 28 15
Wins 9 7
Draws 3 0
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Union Carl Berner vs Ullern
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 40 / 100
Union Carl Berner 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern Union Carl Berner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ullern's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Union Carl Berner has conceded goals in 67% of their last 15 outings.

Union Carl Berner lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ullern VS Union Carl Berner
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ullern

(Home)
25 Jul
Ullern
1 : 3
Heming
27 Jun
Asker
3 : 2
Ullern
20 Jun
Ullern
2 : 3
KFUM Oslo 2
13 Jun
Gamle Oslo
2 : 3
Ullern
30 May
Ullern
2 : 1
Konnerud
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Union Carl Berner

(Away)
27 Jul
Union Carl Berner
1 : 2
Asker
26 Jun
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Union Carl Berner
20 Jun
Union Carl Berner
2 : 1
Grei
13 Jun
Konnerud
0 : 1
Union Carl Berner
30 May
Heming
2 : 0
Union Carl Berner
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