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Ulm vs Bonner

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ulm and Bonner finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ulm
35%
Draws
45%
Bonner
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bonner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Bonner have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Ulm are scoring more at 1.54.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Ulm Clean Sheet 10%
Bonner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulm Bonner
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Ulm vs Bonner
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulm 30 / 100
Bonner 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulm Bonner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonner Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Ulm scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Ulm remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulm VS Bonner
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulm

(Home)
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2
FSV Frankfurt
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Ulm
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
29 Aug
Astoria Walldorf
0 : 0
Ulm
22 Aug
Ulm
2 : 2
Fulda-Lehnerz
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Bonner

(Away)
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
04 Sept
Bonner
2 : 1
Koln II
01 Sept
Bocholt
2 : 2
Bonner
28 Aug
Bonner
3 : 3
Bochum II
23 Aug
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Bonner
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