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Ulm vs Eintracht Trier Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest Donaustadion, Ulm
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Singer J.

AI Match Summary

Eintracht Trier in this Regionalliga Sudwest matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eintracht Trier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ulm
30%
Draws
54%
Eintracht Trier
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eintracht Trier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Eintracht Trier have won more games recently than Ulm.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ulm Clean Sheet 14%
Eintracht Trier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulm Eintracht Trier
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.54 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs Eintracht Trier
0:1
Dec 10, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs Eintracht Trier
2:0
Aug 20, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
Eintracht Trier vs Ulm
0:1
Feb 19, 2017 Regionalliga Sudwest
Eintracht Trier vs Ulm
5:0
Aug 30, 2016 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs Eintracht Trier
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulm Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Eintracht Trier Compare

Top Goalscorer Singer J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulm 31 / 100
Eintracht Trier 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulm Eintracht Trier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eintracht Trier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulm scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Eintracht Trier conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Ulm has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ulm VS Eintracht Trier
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulm

(Home)
26 Sept
Ulm
0 : 1
Eintracht Trier
19 Sept
Sandhausen
2 : 2
Ulm
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2
FSV Frankfurt
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Ulm
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
Page 1 of 6

Eintracht Trier

(Away)
26 Sept
Ulm
0 : 1
Eintracht Trier
18 Sept
Eintracht Trier
1 : 3
Kickers Offenbach
12 Sept
Kaiserslautern II
0 : 3
Eintracht Trier
08 Sept
Eintracht Trier
0 : 0
Freiburg II
05 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Eintracht Trier
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 9 5 4 0 24:9 19
2 Kickers Offenbach 9 6 1 2 20:11 19
3 Stutt. Kickers 9 5 2 2 17:13 17
4 Eintracht Trier 9 5 1 3 10:7 16
5 Aalen 9 4 3 2 14:10 15
6 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
7 FC 08 Homburg 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
8 Freiburg II 8 3 4 1 16:11 13
9 FSV Frankfurt 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
10 TSV Steinbach Haiger 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
11 Sandhausen 9 3 3 3 15:19 12
12 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
13 Kassel 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
14 Mainz II 9 3 0 6 10:19 9
15 Kaiserslautern II 8 2 2 4 6:17 8
16 Astoria Walldorf 9 1 3 5 11:17 6
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 9 1 2 6 13:21 5
18 Ulm 9 0 4 5 11:19 4
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)