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Ulm vs FC Viktoria Koln

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Donaustadion
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Seegert M.
33'
Sub
Meier J. In: Vater F.
Out: Meier J.
55'
Anderson Brown E.

AI Match Summary

FC Viktoria Koln in this 3. Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Viktoria Koln.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ulm
30%
Draws
34%
FC Viktoria Koln
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ulm lately — more wins on the board than FC Viktoria Koln.
  • Win probability leans Ulm's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ulm have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ulm Clean Sheet 11%
FC Viktoria Koln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulm FC Viktoria Koln
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 3. Liga
Ulm vs FC Viktoria Koln
0:2
Dec 6, 2025 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Koln vs Ulm
0:1
May 4, 2024 3. Liga
Ulm vs FC Viktoria Koln
2:0
Dec 2, 2023 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Koln vs Ulm
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulm Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FC Viktoria Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Munst L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kozuki S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulm 35 / 100
FC Viktoria Koln 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulm FC Viktoria Koln

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulm found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

FC Viktoria Koln let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Ulm has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ulm VS FC Viktoria Koln
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1VfL Osnabruck38248666:3480
2Energie Cottbus38219872:5172
3RW Essen382010878:6670
4Duisburg381911866:4968
5Hansa Rostock381813774:4967
6Verl3818101082:4864
7Alemannia Aachen381971276:5764
8Munich 18603815111254:5356
9Wehen381581554:5253
10Mannheim381571659:7252
11FC Viktoria Koln381561751:5351
12Ingolstadt3813101565:5649
13Regensburg381471754:5849
14VfB Stuttgart II381371857:6946
15Saarbrucken3810141451:5744
16Hoffenheim II381271965:7143
17TSV Havelse38982157:8935
18Aue387131851:7034
19Ulm38962349:7833
201. FC Schweinfurt38562738:8721