Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulm vs FSV Frankfurt

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest Donaustadion, Ulm
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Goller B.
81' Event
Ehlich C.
85' Event
Bock C.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest game between Ulm and FSV Frankfurt finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FSV Frankfurt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ulm
35%
Draws
52%
FSV Frankfurt
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FSV Frankfurt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FSV Frankfurt come out ahead of Ulm on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on FSV Frankfurt taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ulm Clean Sheet 10%
FSV Frankfurt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulm FSV Frankfurt
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.54 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs FSV Frankfurt
1:2
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Ulm vs FSV Frankfurt
2:0
Mar 25, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs FSV Frankfurt
1:4
Sep 14, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
FSV Frankfurt vs Ulm
0:1
Nov 27, 2021 Regionalliga Sudwest
FSV Frankfurt vs Ulm
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulm Compare

Top Goalscorer Goller B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FSV Frankfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Ehlich C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bock C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulm 10 / 100
FSV Frankfurt 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulm FSV Frankfurt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FSV Frankfurt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulm found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

FSV Frankfurt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Ulm went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulm VS FSV Frankfurt
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulm

(Home)
26 Sept
Ulm
0 : 1
Eintracht Trier
19 Sept
Sandhausen
2 : 2
Ulm
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2
FSV Frankfurt
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Ulm
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
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FSV Frankfurt

(Away)
18 Sept
FSV Frankfurt
0 : 1
Stutt. Kickers
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2
FSV Frankfurt
08 Sept
FSV Frankfurt
2 : 0
Kassel
05 Sept
FSV Frankfurt
1 : 1
Kickers Offenbach
28 Aug
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 2
FSV Frankfurt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 9 5 4 0 24:9 19
2 Kickers Offenbach 9 6 1 2 20:11 19
3 Stutt. Kickers 9 5 2 2 17:13 17
4 Eintracht Trier 9 5 1 3 10:7 16
5 Aalen 9 4 3 2 14:10 15
6 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
7 FC 08 Homburg 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
8 Freiburg II 8 3 4 1 16:11 13
9 FSV Frankfurt 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
10 TSV Steinbach Haiger 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
11 Sandhausen 9 3 3 3 15:19 12
12 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
13 Kassel 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
14 Mainz II 9 3 0 6 10:19 9
15 Kaiserslautern II 8 2 2 4 6:17 8
16 Astoria Walldorf 9 1 3 5 11:17 6
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 9 1 2 6 13:21 5
18 Ulm 9 0 4 5 11:19 4
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)