Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Kim J.
50' Event
Lee Han-sae
82' Event
Yoon Sung-Han

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ulsan Citizen
15%
Draws
49%
Chuncheon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chuncheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulsan Citizen have won more games recently than Chuncheon.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Ulsan Citizen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ulsan Citizen, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 17%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Chuncheon
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.06 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Han-sae
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chuncheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoon Sung-Han
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 36 / 100
Chuncheon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Chuncheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chuncheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chuncheon conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ulsan Citizen scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ulsan Citizen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Chuncheon
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

(Home)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
19 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
0 : 1
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 7

Chuncheon

(Away)
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jeonnam -
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Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
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Jincheon -
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Siheung Citizen -
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Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen -
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Chuncheon -
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Seoul E-Land -
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Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
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Cheonan City -
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Yangsan United 1
Anseong Citizen 2
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Mokpo -
Pohang -
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Busan Kyotong -
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Gijang United -
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Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
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Jinju Citizen -
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Sejong SA -
Seosan Pioneer -
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Gyeongju KHNP -
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Cheongju -
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Anyang -
Jeju SK -
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Hwaseong -
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Yeonsu Songdo 0
Ulsan FC 4
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Yangpyeong -
Pyeongtaek Citizen -
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Yeoju Citizen -
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Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
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Haman -
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Dangjin Citizen -
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Jeonbuk -
Namyangju -
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Seoul Jungnang -
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Gimpo FC -
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Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
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Suwon FC -
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Cheongju Showking 3
Yangcheon TNT 9
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Pyeongchang United -
Gangwon -
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Changwon -
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Geumsan Insam -
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Gimhae -
Seongnam -
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Daejeon Korail -
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Pocheon -
Busan -
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Incheon Seogot 2
Areum 1
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Geoje -
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Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
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Paju Frontier -
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Jecheon Citizen -
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Gangneung -
1/64-finals
Jeonnam -
TBD -
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Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
TBD -
Jincheon 1
Siheung Citizen 2
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Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 2
Chuncheon 1
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Seoul E-Land -
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Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
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Cheonan City -
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Anseong Citizen 2
Mokpo 3
Pohang -
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Busan Kyotong 2
Gijang United 1
TBD -
Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
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Jinju Citizen 2
Sejong SA 1
Seosan Pioneer 0
Gyeongju KHNP 3
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Cheongju -
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Anyang -
Jeju SK -
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Hwaseong -
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Ulsan FC 1
Yangpyeong 5
Pyeongtaek Citizen 1
Yeoju Citizen 3
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Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
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Haman 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
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Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 3
Seoul Jungnang 1
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Gimpo FC -
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Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
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Suwon FC -
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Yangcheon TNT 1
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
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Changwon 3
Geumsan Insam 0
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Gimhae -
Seongnam -
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Daejeon Korail 0
Pocheon 2
Busan -
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Incheon Seogot 0
Geoje 4
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Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
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Paju Frontier -
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Jecheon Citizen 0
Gangneung 2
1/32-finals
Jeonnam 3
Chungnam Asan 4
Daegu 0
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
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Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 4
Seoul E-Land 2
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Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
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Cheonan City 2
Mokpo 1
Pohang -
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Busan Kyotong 2
Suwon Bluewings 1
Ansan Greeners 0
Jinju Citizen 2
Gyeongju KHNP 0
Cheongju 4
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Anyang -
Jeju SK -
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Hwaseong 4
Yangpyeong 3
Yeoju Citizen 1
Gyeongnam 0
Yongin FC 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
TBD -
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Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 1
Gimpo FC 2
TBD -
Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
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Suwon FC 3
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
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Changwon 1
Gimhae 5
Seongnam 2
Pocheon 1
Busan 4
Geoje 0
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Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
Paju Frontier 3
Gangneung 2
1/16-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 1
Ulsan Hyundai 0
Gwangju FC 1
Cheonan City 0
Pohang -
TBD -
Busan Kyotong 1
Jinju Citizen 2
Cheongju 1
Anyang 3
Jeju SK 4
Hwaseong 3
Yeoju Citizen 0
Dangjin Citizen 1
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Gimpo FC 1
Incheon 0
Gimcheon Sangmu 2
Suwon FC 1
Gangwon -
TBD -
Gimhae 0
Seongnam 1
Busan 2
Seoul 0
Bucheon FC 1995 3
Paju Frontier 0
1/8-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Daejeon 3
Ulsan Citizen 0
Gwangju FC 1
Pohang 3
Jinju Citizen 1
Anyang 2
Jeju SK 1
Dangjin Citizen 3
Jeonbuk 2
Gimpo FC 2
Gimcheon Sangmu 1
Gangwon 1
Seongnam 0
Busan 0
Bucheon FC 1995 1
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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