Sport Picks

Ulsan Citizen vs Gwangju FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea

Korean Cup Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan

Ulsan Citizen

0 - 1

Gwangju FC

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Ba Loua A.

46'

Sub

Lee K. In: Kim D.

Out: Lee K.

46'

Sub

Kim Y. In: Lee Han-sae

Out: Kim Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Ulsan Citizen

30%

Draws

23%

Gwangju FC

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Gwangju FC haven't matched Ulsan Citizen's recent run of results.
47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Ulsan Citizen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Gwangju FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ulsan Citizen	Gwangju FC
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	12	2
Draws	4	9
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1.1	0.68
Goals Conceded	1.1	2.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Korean Cup

Ulsan Citizen vs Gwangju FC

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Gwangju FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba Loua A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 41 / 100

Gwangju FC 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ulsan Citizen Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulsan Citizen Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gwangju FC conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Ulsan Citizen's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Ulsan Citizen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Gwangju FC

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

50% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

(Home)

09 Oct

Yangpyeong

2 : 1

Ulsan Citizen

03 Oct

Ulsan Citizen

1 : 2

Siheung Citizen

11 Sept

Daejeon Korail

0 : 1

Ulsan Citizen

05 Sept

Ulsan Citizen

1 : 2

Gyeongju KHNP

30 Aug

Ulsan Citizen

2 : 1

Busan Kyotong

Page 1 of 6

Gwangju FC

(Away)

20 Sept

Jeonbuk

2 : 2

Gwangju FC

13 Sept

Gwangju FC

1 : 1

Anyang

09 Sept

Gwangju FC

0 : 1

Jeju SK

06 Sept

Gimcheon Sangmu

2 : 2

Gwangju FC

30 Aug

Gwangju FC

2 : 5

Seoul

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jeonnam -

TBD -

Chungnam Asan -

Daegu -

TBD -

Jincheon -

TBD -

Siheung Citizen -

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen -

TBD -

Chuncheon -

TBD -

Seoul E-Land -

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City -

TBD -

Yangsan United 1

Anseong Citizen 2

TBD -

Mokpo -

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong -

TBD -

Gijang United -

TBD -

Suwon Bluewings -

Ansan Greeners -

TBD -

Jinju Citizen -

TBD -

Sejong SA -

Seosan Pioneer -

TBD -

Gyeongju KHNP -

TBD -

Cheongju -

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong -

TBD -

Yeonsu Songdo 0

Ulsan FC 4

TBD -

Yangpyeong -

Pyeongtaek Citizen -

TBD -

Yeoju Citizen -

TBD -

Gyeongnam -

Yongin FC -

TBD -

Haman -

TBD -

Dangjin Citizen -

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju -

TBD -

Seoul Jungnang -

TBD -

Gimpo FC -

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC -

TBD -

Cheongju Showking 3

Yangcheon TNT 9

TBD -

Pyeongchang United -

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon -

TBD -

Geumsan Insam -

TBD -

Gimhae -

Seongnam -

TBD -

Daejeon Korail -

TBD -

Pocheon -

Busan -

TBD -

Incheon Seogot 2

Areum 1

TBD -

Geoje -

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier -

TBD -

Jecheon Citizen -

TBD -

Gangneung -

1/64-finals

Jeonnam -

TBD -

Chungnam Asan -

Daegu -

TBD -

Jincheon 1

Siheung Citizen 2

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 2

Chuncheon 1

TBD -

Seoul E-Land -

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City -

TBD -

Anseong Citizen 2

Mokpo 3

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 2

Gijang United 1

TBD -

Suwon Bluewings -

Ansan Greeners -

TBD -

Jinju Citizen 2

Sejong SA 1

Seosan Pioneer 0

Gyeongju KHNP 3

TBD -

Cheongju -

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong -

TBD -

Ulsan FC 1

Yangpyeong 5

Pyeongtaek Citizen 1

Yeoju Citizen 3

TBD -

Gyeongnam -

Yongin FC -

TBD -

Haman 0

Dangjin Citizen 2

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju 3

Seoul Jungnang 1

TBD -

Gimpo FC -

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC -

TBD -

Yangcheon TNT 1

Pyeongchang United 2

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon 3

Geumsan Insam 0

TBD -

Gimhae -

Seongnam -

TBD -

Daejeon Korail 0

Pocheon 2

Busan -

TBD -

Incheon Seogot 0

Geoje 4

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier -

TBD -

Jecheon Citizen 0

Gangneung 2

1/32-finals

Jeonnam 3

Chungnam Asan 4

Daegu 0

Siheung Citizen 1

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 4

Seoul E-Land 2

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City 2

Mokpo 1

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 2

Suwon Bluewings 1

Ansan Greeners 0

Jinju Citizen 2

Gyeongju KHNP 0

Cheongju 4

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong 4

Yangpyeong 3

Yeoju Citizen 1

Gyeongnam 0

Yongin FC 0

Dangjin Citizen 2

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju 1

Gimpo FC 2

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC 3

Pyeongchang United 2

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon 1

Gimhae 5

Seongnam 2

Pocheon 1

Busan 4

Geoje 0

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier 3

Gangneung 2

1/16-finals

Chungnam Asan 2

Siheung Citizen 1

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 1

Ulsan Hyundai 0

Gwangju FC 1

Cheonan City 0

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 1

Jinju Citizen 2

Cheongju 1

Anyang 3

Jeju SK 4

Hwaseong 3

Yeoju Citizen 0

Dangjin Citizen 1

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Gimpo FC 1

Incheon 0

Gimcheon Sangmu 2

Suwon FC 1

Gangwon -

TBD -

Gimhae 0

Seongnam 1

Busan 2

Seoul 0

Bucheon FC 1995 3

Paju Frontier 0

1/8-finals

Chungnam Asan 2

Daejeon 3

Ulsan Citizen 0

Gwangju FC 1

Pohang 3

Jinju Citizen 1

Anyang 2

Jeju SK 1

Dangjin Citizen 3

Jeonbuk 2

Gimpo FC 2

Gimcheon Sangmu 1

Gangwon 1

Seongnam 0

Busan 0

Bucheon FC 1995 1

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Ulsan Citizen vs Gwangju FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea

Ulsan Citizen

Gwangju FC

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Gwangju FC Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

Gwangju FC

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA