Sport Picks
Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South Korea
K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan 
Match Events
4'
4'
Jung Sung-Ho
59'
59'
Kim J.
79'
79'
Jin Seong-Uk
AI Match Summary
Gyeongju KHNP in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gyeongju KHNP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gyeongju KHNP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gyeongju KHNP haven't matched Ulsan Citizen's recent run of results.
- 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 19%
Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ulsan Citizen | Gyeongju KHNP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Ulsan Citizen
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Ulsan Citizen
2:2
Jun 28, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
3:4
Aug 25, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ulsan Citizen Compare
Top Goalscorer Kim J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Gyeongju KHNP Compare
Top Goalscorer Jung Sung-Ho
1 Goals Assists Leader Jin Seong-Uk
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ulsan Citizen 32 / 100
Gyeongju KHNP 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ulsan Citizen Gyeongju KHNP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gyeongju KHNP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Ulsan Citizen scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Gyeongju KHNP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Ulsan Citizen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ulsan Citizen VS Gyeongju KHNP
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ulsan Citizen
(Home) 09 Oct
Yangpyeong
2 : 1 Ulsan Citizen
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2 Siheung Citizen
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1 Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2 Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1 Busan Kyotong
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2 Siheung Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2 Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1 Busan Kyotong
19 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
0 : 1 Gwangju FC
29 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 0 Ulsan Hyundai
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Gyeongju KHNP
(Away) 04 Oct
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 3 Gyeongju KHNP
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1 Changwon
12 Sept
Gangneung
0 : 1 Gyeongju KHNP
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2 Gyeongju KHNP
22 Aug
Yangpyeong
3 : 3 Gyeongju KHNP
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 3 Gyeongju KHNP
12 Sept
Gangneung
0 : 1 Gyeongju KHNP
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2 Gyeongju KHNP
22 Aug
Yangpyeong
3 : 3 Gyeongju KHNP
15 Jul
Cheongju
4 : 0 Gyeongju KHNP
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 37:20 | 55 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 41:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 33:19 | 41 |
| 4 | Busan Kyotong | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 42:30 | 40 |
| 5 | Gyeongju KHNP | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35:31 | 35 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 47:39 | 34 |
| 7 | Chuncheon | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 42:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Changwon | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27:31 | 29 |
| 9 | Ulsan Citizen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 25:28 | 28 |
| 10 | Yeoju Citizen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27:31 | 28 |
| 11 | Gangneung | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21:32 | 27 |
| 12 | Mokpo | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 22:36 | 24 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30:46 | 20 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk 2 | 24 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 25:54 | 10 |
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)
