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Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Park Jun-Beom
85'
Kim Min-Gi

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Ulsan Citizen and Pocheon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pocheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ulsan Citizen
20%
Draws
38%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Pocheon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ulsan Citizen a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 12%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Pocheon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen
0:0
Jun 6, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 K3 League
Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pocheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Jun-Beom
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 40 / 100
Pocheon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Pocheon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ulsan Citizen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Pocheon let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Ulsan Citizen found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Pocheon
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409