Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Park Jun-Beom
85'
Kim Min-Gi

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Ulsan Citizen and Pocheon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pocheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ulsan Citizen
15%
Draws
53%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Pocheon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Pocheon
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.03 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen
0:0
Jun 6, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 K3 League
Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pocheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Jun-Beom
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 32 / 100
Pocheon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Pocheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Citizen's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Pocheon let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ulsan Citizen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Pocheon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

(Home)
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
19 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
0 : 1
Gwangju FC
14 Aug
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Ulsan Citizen
Page 1 of 7

Pocheon

(Away)
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Pocheon
1 : 1
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 21 15 4 2 32:18 49
2 Pocheon 21 12 6 3 36:19 42
3 Daejeon Korail 21 11 5 5 31:16 38
4 Busan Kyotong 21 10 7 4 36:21 37
5 Dangjin Citizen 21 8 4 9 39:33 28
6 Gangneung 21 7 6 8 20:29 27
7 Chuncheon 21 7 5 9 37:34 26
8 Gyeongju KHNP 20 6 8 6 29:28 26
9 Changwon 20 6 8 6 22:22 26
10 Ulsan Citizen 21 7 4 10 22:24 25
11 Yeoju Citizen 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
12 Mokpo 21 3 9 9 16:34 18
13 Yangpyeong 21 3 8 10 27:41 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 21 1 7 13 21:46 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)