Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Yeoju Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium
Fri, Jul 10, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulsan Citizen play Yeoju Citizen in the K3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ulsan Citizen averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Yeoju Citizen averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Ulsan Citizen won 3, Yeoju Citizen won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Ulsan Citizen and 0.81 for Yeoju Citizen. This points to a Ulsan Citizen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ulsan Citizen
19%
Draws
40%
Yeoju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulsan Citizen picked up more points recently compared to Yeoju Citizen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 26%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Yeoju Citizen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
1:2
May 3, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Yeoju Citizen
0:1
Jul 7, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Yeoju Citizen
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 42 / 100
Yeoju Citizen 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Yeoju Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ulsan Citizen or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ulsan Citizen attacking → ← attacking Yeoju Citizen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Citizen scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Yeoju Citizen let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ulsan Citizen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Yeoju Citizen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 39
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Siheung Citizen16124024:1240
2Pocheon16104229:1434
3Daejeon Korail1694327:1131
4Busan Kyotong1676324:1327
5Changwon1666417:1524
6Dangjin Citizen1663726:2521
7Yeoju Citizen1656520:2121
8Gangneung1654714:2419
9Chuncheon1644829:2816
10Gyeongju KHNP1637622:2416
11Ulsan Citizen1644816:1916
12Yangpyeong1627715:2713
13Mokpo1619612:2412
14Jeonbuk 21616917:359