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Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Hwang Byeong-Keun
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Lee Gyu-Seong In: Yago Cariello
Out: Lee Gyu-Seong
56'
Sub
Lee H. In: Erick Farias
Out: Lee H.

AI Match Summary

Ulsan Hyundai in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulsan Hyundai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ulsan Hyundai
30%
Draws
29%
Gangwon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulsan Hyundai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ulsan Hyundai have won more games recently than Gangwon.
  • Model gives Ulsan Hyundai a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 20%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Hyundai Gangwon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon
2:1
Aug 16, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon
2:3
May 17, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Ulsan Hyundai
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon
3:1
Jul 27, 2025 K League 1
Gangwon vs Ulsan Hyundai
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Erick Farias
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gangwon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Hyundai 42 / 100
Gangwon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Hyundai Gangwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Hyundai found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ulsan Hyundai stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Gangwon let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Hyundai VS Gangwon
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Hyundai

(Home)
01 Nov
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Gangwon
24 Oct
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 2
Pohang
17 Oct
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
11 Oct
Gwangju FC
4 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
19 Sept
Anyang
2 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
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Gangwon

(Away)
01 Nov
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Gangwon
29 Oct
Gangwon
1 : 0
Kuching City FC
24 Oct
Seoul
1 : 1
Gangwon
18 Oct
Gangwon
1 : 1
Incheon
15 Oct
Gangwon
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 34 20 7 7 61:30 67
2 Ulsan Hyundai 34 16 6 12 54:48 54
3 Daejeon 34 13 11 10 53:41 50
4 Incheon 34 13 10 11 44:35 49
5 Jeonbuk 34 12 13 9 43:33 49
6 Gangwon 34 11 15 8 41:32 48
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)