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Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lee G.
Assist: Hong Yun-Sang
43'
Park T.
44' Event
Yago Cariello

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Ulsan Hyundai and Gimcheon Sangmu finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulsan Hyundai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ulsan Hyundai
35%
Draws
24%
Gimcheon Sangmu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ulsan Hyundai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Ulsan Hyundai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Ulsan Hyundai taking it.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 68%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Hyundai Gimcheon Sangmu
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 15
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.36 1
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu
3:1
May 5, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai
3:0
May 24, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Yago Cariello
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kang Sang-Woo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Hyundai 50 / 100
Gimcheon Sangmu 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Hyundai Gimcheon Sangmu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulsan Hyundai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Hyundai found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Gimcheon Sangmu conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Ulsan Hyundai remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Hyundai VS Gimcheon Sangmu
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Hyundai

(Home)
19 Sept
Anyang
2 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 0
Seoul
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
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Gimcheon Sangmu

(Away)
10 Oct
Gimcheon Sangmu
0 : 1
Anyang
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 31 20 5 6 58:26 65
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Gangwon 31 11 13 7 38:28 46
4 Jeju SK 31 12 10 9 36:31 46
5 Jeonbuk 31 11 11 9 39:30 44
6 Daejeon 31 11 10 10 48:38 43
7 Incheon 31 11 9 11 39:33 42
8 Anyang 31 10 11 10 39:47 41
9 Pohang 31 11 7 13 28:37 40
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 31 5 18 8 30:37 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 31 7 11 13 31:42 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)