Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Sim Sang-Min In: Jang Si-Young
Out: Sim Sang-Min
53' Event
Jung Seung-Hyun
Assist: Lee Dong-Gyeong
56' Event
Lee Dong-Gyeong
Assist: Pedrinho

AI Match Summary

Ulsan Hyundai in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulsan Hyundai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ulsan Hyundai
30%
Draws
23%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulsan Hyundai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulsan Hyundai have won more games recently than Incheon.
  • Ulsan Hyundai are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 68%
Incheon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Hyundai Incheon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon
2:1
Jul 21, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:2
May 14, 2025 Korean Cup
Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Ulsan Hyundai
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung Seung-Hyun
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Dong-Gyeong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Incheon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Hyundai 77 / 100
Incheon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Hyundai Incheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulsan Hyundai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Hyundai's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Incheon conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ulsan Hyundai has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Hyundai VS Incheon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Hyundai

(Home)
19 Sept
Anyang
2 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 0
Seoul
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6

Incheon

(Away)
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
30 Aug
Incheon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 29 10 12 7 36:28 42
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
9 Incheon 29 10 8 11 36:33 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)