Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Lee Dong-Gyeong
Assist: Bojanic D.
31'
Kim Jae-Woo
32' Event
Trojak M.

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Ulsan Hyundai and Jeju SK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulsan Hyundai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ulsan Hyundai
30%
Draws
34%
Jeju SK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulsan Hyundai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeju SK haven't matched Ulsan Hyundai's recent run of results.
  • Ulsan Hyundai are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ulsan Hyundai have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 19%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Hyundai Jeju SK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Ulsan Hyundai
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK
1:0
May 11, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Dong-Gyeong
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trojak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Negueba
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Hyundai 36 / 100
Jeju SK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Hyundai Jeju SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ulsan Hyundai scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Jeju SK has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ulsan Hyundai stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Hyundai VS Jeju SK
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Jeonbuk1785425:1529
3Gangwon1777321:1128
4Pohang1784518:1428
5Ulsan Hyundai1783624:2427
6Anyang1758422:1923
7Incheon1763821:1921
8Jeju SK1755714:1720
9Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
10Daejeon1746719:1818
11Gimcheon Sangmu17210517:2316
12Gwangju FC1715118:418