Sport Picks

South Korea

K League 1 2025 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Match Events

16'

Sub

Yoon Jae-Seok In: Lee Chung-Yong

Out: Yoon Jae-Seok

16'

Sub

Baek In-Woo In: Um Won-Sang

Out: Baek In-Woo

28'

Jung Woo-Young

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ulsan Hyundai host Suwon FC in the K League 1 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Suwon FC have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Ulsan Hyundai have conceded 1.63 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Ulsan Hyundai slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 9, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.75, favoring Suwon FC. Suwon FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Ulsan Hyundai

11%

Draws

80%

Suwon FC

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Suwon FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Suwon FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ulsan Hyundai.
Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Suwon FC.
League standings and seasonal metrics in K League 1 2025 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 12%

Suwon FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ulsan Hyundai	Suwon FC
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	10	11
Draws	6	7
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 K League 1

Ulsan Hyundai vs Suwon FC

Possession: 58% - 60% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Aug 16, 2025 K League 1

Suwon FC vs Ulsan Hyundai

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

4:2

Aug 2, 2025 K League 1

Ulsan Hyundai vs Suwon FC

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

2:3

Mar 16, 2025 K League 1

Suwon FC vs Ulsan Hyundai

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Nov 23, 2024 K League 1

Ulsan Hyundai vs Suwon FC

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Ludwigson G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Suwon FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Hyundai 11 / 100

Suwon FC 75 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ulsan Hyundai Suwon FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SFC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Hyundai scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Suwon FC let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ulsan Hyundai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Suwon FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Hyundai VS Suwon FC

1 Goals Scored 1.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gwangju FC	38	15	9	14	40:41	54
2	Anyang	38	14	7	17	49:47	49
3	Ulsan Hyundai	38	11	11	16	42:50	44
4	Suwon FC	38	11	9	18	51:58	42
5	Jeju SK	38	10	9	19	40:53	39
6	Daegu	38	7	13	18	47:67	34