Sport Picks
Ultramarina vs Academica Praia
Cape Verde
Campeonato Nacional 2025 
AI Match Summary
Ultramarina play Academica Praia in the Campeonato Nacional 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ultramarina averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Academica Praia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Ultramarina won 0, Academica Praia won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 11, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Ultramarina and 1.50 for Academica Praia. This points to a Academica Praia double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ultramarina picked up more points recently compared to Academica Praia.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.50 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ultramarina | Academica Praia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 20 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.33 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ultramarina Compare
Academica Praia Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ultramarina scored in 72% of their last 39 games.
Academica Praia let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Ultramarina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Academica Praia lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boavista da Praia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Palmeira | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Sanjoanenses | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 12 |
| 4 | Paulense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Mindelense | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Academica Praia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Sport Sal-Rei | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 8 | Ultramarina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 9 | Scorpion Vermelho | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 2 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |