Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ultramarina vs Mindelense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mindelense in this Campeonato Nacional 2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mindelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ultramarina
30%
Draws
58%
Mindelense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mindelense lately — more wins on the board than Ultramarina.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Mindelense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 11%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ultramarina Mindelense
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
2:1
Jul 1, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
0:2
Jun 27, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Mindelense
0:0
May 9, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
3:0
Jun 1, 2013 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ultramarina 10 / 100
Mindelense 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ultramarina Mindelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ultramarina scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Mindelense let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Ultramarina stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ultramarina VS Mindelense
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ultramarina

(Home)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 6

Mindelense

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Praia 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Mindelense 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
3 Ultramarina 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
4 Onze Unidos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
5 Santa Maria 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
6 Foguetoes 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 SC do Porto Novo 5 3 0 2 9:6 9
3 Vulcanico 5 2 1 2 3:4 7
4 Morabeza 5 2 1 2 4:8 7
5 Estrela dos Amadores 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
6 Academica Boavista 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)