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Ultramarina vs Mindelense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2011 game between Ultramarina and Mindelense finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mindelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ultramarina
30%
Draws
58%
Mindelense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Mindelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mindelense a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 11%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ultramarina Mindelense
Matches Played 39 49
Wins 11 25
Draws 8 13
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
2:1
Jul 1, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
0:2
Jun 27, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Mindelense
0:0
May 9, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
3:0
Jun 1, 2013 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ultramarina 10 / 100
Mindelense 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ultramarina Mindelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ultramarina scored in 72% of their last 39 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Mindelense conceded in 53% of 49 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ultramarina stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ultramarina VS Mindelense
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ultramarina

(Home)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 8

Mindelense

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 10

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 5 4 1 0 13:1 13
2 Sporting Praia 5 4 0 1 7:2 12
3 CD Benfica 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
4 Vulcanico 4 1 1 2 3:9 4
5 Ultramarina 5 1 0 4 6:11 3
6 Sport Sal-Rei 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Porto Novo 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Academico do Sal 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Boavista 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
4 Onze Unidos 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
5 Rosariense 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2011 (Play Offs)