Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ultramarina play Sanjoanenses in the Campeonato Nacional 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ultramarina averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Sanjoanenses averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Ultramarina won 1, Sanjoanenses won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Ultramarina and 1.44 for Sanjoanenses. This points to a Ultramarina double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ultramarina picked up more points recently compared to Sanjoanenses.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.44 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ultramarina | Sanjoanenses |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 20 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ultramarina scored in 72% of their last 39 games.
Sanjoanenses let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.
Games between these two average 1.33 goals.
Ultramarina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Sanjoanenses lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boavista da Praia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Palmeira | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Sanjoanenses | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 12 |
| 4 | Paulense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Mindelense | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Academica Praia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Sport Sal-Rei | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 8 | Ultramarina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 9 | Scorpion Vermelho | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 2 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |