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Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Westside Park
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Lakoseljac B.
59' Event
Klug L.
90' Event
Sibanda B.

AI Match Summary

Ulverstone in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulverstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ulverstone
6%
Draws
90%
Kingborough Lions
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kingborough Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kingborough Lions have won more games recently than Ulverstone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kingborough Lions taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulverstone Kingborough Lions
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 20
Draws 1 3
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.75 3.88
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Ulverstone
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulverstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Klug L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sibanda B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakoseljac B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulverstone 10 / 100
Kingborough Lions 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulverstone Kingborough Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Ulverstone scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Kingborough Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Ulverstone stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulverstone VS Kingborough Lions
0.75 Goals Scored 3.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%