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Ulverstone vs South East United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Westside Park, Ulverstone
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sibanda B.
42' Event
Anderson T.
69' Event
Sartori J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Ulverstone and South East United finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South East United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Ulverstone
15%
Draws
68%
South East United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South East United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South East United come out ahead of Ulverstone on wins alone.
  • South East United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 13%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulverstone South East United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 1 3
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 2.7 2.97
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs South East United
3:4
May 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South East United vs Ulverstone
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulverstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Sibanda B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

South East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartori J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Huigsloot L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulverstone 10 / 100
South East United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulverstone South East United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South East United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South East United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ulverstone scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ulverstone went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulverstone VS South East United
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulverstone

(Home)
08 Aug
Ulverstone
3 : 4
South East United
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
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South East United

(Away)
08 Aug
Ulverstone
3 : 4
South East United
01 Aug
South East United
3 : 1
Riverside Olympic
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
11 Jul
Devonport
2 : 0
South East United
05 Jul
South East United
1 : 0
South Hobart
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