Sport Picks
Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula Prediction & H2H Stats
Russia
FNL Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk 
Match Events
15'
15'
Karmaev N.
30'
30'
Kostin A.
44'
44'
Saplinov A.
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between Ulyanovsk and Arsenal Tula finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulyanovsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ulyanovsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arsenal Tula haven't matched Ulyanovsk's recent run of results.
- Ulyanovsk are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ulyanovsk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ulyanovsk | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula
3:0
Jun 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Tula vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Mar 9, 2026 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Ulyanovsk
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula
2:1
Apr 15, 2023 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ulyanovsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Saplinov A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Arsenal Tula Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ulyanovsk 86 / 100
Arsenal Tula 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ulyanovsk Arsenal Tula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ulyanovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal Tula let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Ulyanovsk scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Ulyanovsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ulyanovsk VS Arsenal Tula
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ulyanovsk
(Home) 26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1 Ulyanovsk
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
22 Aug
Ulyanovsk
1 : 3 Shinnik Yaroslavl
02 Aug
Ulyanovsk
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 3
Arsenal Tula
(Away) 26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0 Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0 Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
24 Aug
Veles Moscow
2 : 0 Arsenal Tula
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 12 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
