Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets

Russia Russia

FNL Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Kostin A.
33'
Sub
Khabibullin A. In: Dziov M.
Out: Khabibullin A.
62'
Sub
Pershin M. In: Kulishev A.
Out: Pershin M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Ulyanovsk and Leningradets finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leningradets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ulyanovsk
20%
Draws
47%
Leningradets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leningradets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Ulyanovsk haven't matched Leningradets's recent run of results.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Ulyanovsk taking it.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 17%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulyanovsk Leningradets
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets
0:1
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets
2:2
Jun 8, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Ulyanovsk
1:3
Apr 23, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets
3:0
Jan 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Leningradets vs Ulyanovsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulyanovsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Leningradets Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikitin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulyanovsk 75 / 100
Leningradets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulyanovsk Leningradets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulyanovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulyanovsk's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leningradets conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Ulyanovsk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ulyanovsk VS Leningradets
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulyanovsk

(Home)
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1
Ulyanovsk
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0
Arsenal Tula
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Leningradets

(Away)
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0
Leningradets
13 Sept
Leningradets
2 : 2
Tekstilshtik
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2
Leningradets
05 Sept
Leningradets
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 13 7 2 4 17:16 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
12 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
13 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
14 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
15 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)