Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Trud Stadium

Ulyanovsk

0 - 1

Saratov

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Gloydman N.

38'

Mukhin A.

46'

Sub

Kutovoy M. In: Shpitalnyi V.

Out: Kutovoy M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2025/2026 game between Ulyanovsk and Saratov finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saratov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Ulyanovsk

22%

Draws

60%

Saratov

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Saratov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Ulyanovsk carry the better recent record into this one.
60% — that's where the model lands on Saratov taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Saratov here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 23%

Saratov Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ulyanovsk	Saratov
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	10	7
Draws	9	7
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	0.75	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 FNL

Ulyanovsk vs Saratov

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Oct 25, 2025 FNL

Saratov vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Aug 24, 2016 Russian Cup

Ulyanovsk vs Saratov

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Aug 30, 2014 Russian Cup

Ulyanovsk vs Saratov

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

0:3

Oct 24, 2010 FNL 2 - Group 4

Saratov vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulyanovsk 21 / 100

Saratov 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ulyanovsk Saratov

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulyanovsk found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Saratov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ulyanovsk stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulyanovsk VS Saratov

0.75 Goals Scored 0.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22