Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulyanovsk vs Yenisey Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Nadolskiy A.
25' Event
Pechura R.
27' Event
Tlekhugov M.

AI Match Summary

Yenisey in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yenisey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ulyanovsk
20%
Draws
40%
Yenisey
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ulyanovsk haven't matched Yenisey's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ulyanovsk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 68%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulyanovsk Yenisey
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Yenisey
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 FNL
Yenisey vs Ulyanovsk
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Yenisey
2:4
Jun 3, 2023 FNL
Yenisey vs Ulyanovsk
0:0
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Yenisey vs Ulyanovsk
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulyanovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakovlev V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Yenisey Compare

Top Goalscorer Pechura R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tlekhugov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulyanovsk 77 / 100
Yenisey 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulyanovsk Yenisey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulyanovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulyanovsk scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Yenisey conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ulyanovsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulyanovsk VS Yenisey
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulyanovsk

(Home)
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1
Ulyanovsk
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0
Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6

Yenisey

(Away)
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 12 7 2 3 16:14 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
12 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
13 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
14 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
15 Ulyanovsk 12 3 2 7 14:18 11
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)