Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulytau vs Altai

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Dodev D.
Assist: Stoisavljevic D.
65'
Sub
Harada H. In: Kishi K.
Out: Harada H.
66'
Bougnone A.

AI Match Summary

Altai in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ulytau
15%
Draws
51%
Altai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Altai at 1.34 per game, Ulytau at 1.13.
  • Altai are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 17%
Altai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulytau Altai
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Altai
0:3
Apr 30, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Altai vs Ulytau
4:3
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Altai vs Ulytau
1:2
Aug 22, 2024 First League
Altai vs Ulytau
0:4
Jul 4, 2024 First League
Ulytau vs Altai
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulytau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Altai Compare

Top Goalscorer Popov S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dodev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau 28 / 100
Altai 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulytau Altai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ulytau scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Altai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Altai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulytau VS Altai
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulytau

(Home)
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
08 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 1
Ulytau
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Altai

(Away)
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
15 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Altai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)