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Ulytau vs FC Astana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tomasov M.
Assist: Kazukolovas K.
21'
Kishi K.
26'
Islamkhan B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ulytau and FC Astana finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ulytau
15%
Draws
48%
FC Astana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Astana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and FC Astana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulytau FC Astana
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs FC Astana
0:2
May 22, 2026 Premier League
FC Astana vs Ulytau
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 Premier League
FC Astana vs Ulytau
4:0
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs FC Astana
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulytau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FC Astana Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomasov M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau 34 / 100
FC Astana 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulytau FC Astana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulytau's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Astana conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ulytau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulytau VS FC Astana
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulytau

(Home)
11 Oct
Ulytau
2 : 0
Okzhetpes
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
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FC Astana

(Away)
10 Oct
Tobol
2 : 1
FC Astana
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0
Yelimay Semey
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3
FC Astana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 27 18 6 3 52:20 60
3 FC Astana 26 14 6 6 43:27 48
4 Aktobe 27 13 6 8 41:32 45
5 Okzhetpes 27 13 6 8 41:37 45
6 Yelimay Semey 26 10 8 8 36:36 38
7 Tobol 27 11 4 12 35:36 37
8 Ulytau 27 9 8 10 26:32 35
9 Zhenis 27 8 8 11 27:34 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Kyzylzhar 27 7 6 14 28:40 27
12 Atyrau 26 5 11 10 20:29 26
13 Ertis Pavlodar 26 6 8 12 26:36 26
14 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
15 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 27 5 7 15 26:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)